Best Online Baseball Betting Strategies

by Rae Dover
| 21/10/2020

If baseball is a sport that you enjoy and are looking into starting betting on it online, then here are 4 easy steps to turn your baseball bets into winners.

1. First Things First

Prior to commencing your journey into the world of online baseball betting, you will need to choose the right sportsbook/s for you.  With betting becoming so popular in recent years, there has been a huge increase in the number of sportsbooks being set up. We have a great article for top sportsbooks for Canadian bettors to help narrow down the list, making it easier and less time consuming for you.

You should then start to look into the game of baseball in more detail, as it is very important to learn everything you can about the game before you start betting on it. If you are inexperienced in baseball, or even betting on baseball, then we highly recommend reading our beginner’s guide to online baseball betting to give you a better understanding of everything you will need.

Best Bookmakers - June 2024


2. Betting Markets - Looking for Value

Sportsbooks offer 100+ markets on each baseball game, so you must understand the rules of each market and what constitutes a winning and losing bet. A selection of the markets available to Canadian bettors are listed below:

  • Moneyline
  • Run Line
  • Run Totals
  • Number of Hits
  • Home Runs
  • Team Totals

If you require a detailed overview of the different types of baseball bets available, then please read our article to gain further knowledge in each one.  Having a deeper understanding of each betting market will allow you to pin-point the potential value bets in a particular game. Value can be found in many different markets that are available to you, mainly because sportsbooks have to provide odds for such a large number of markets. It is difficult to price up each individual one correctly.

3. Creating Strategies

The majority of successful bettors in baseball have created strategies and systems to help them profit from baseball betting. These systems / strategies involve looking into a number of factors that can actually affect the outcome of a baseball game.

The factors that we recommend you look into in more depth are as follows:

  • Starting Pitcher – this is the one individual that can have a huge effect on the outcome of a game. You should look at their ERA and WHIP to see how they have been pitching in recent games. If the pitcher has a high ERA, this means they are conceding a large number of runs every 9 innings that they pitch. Keep a close eye on this, because if both starting pitchers have a high ERA, then the over bet on the run total is something to look into.
  • Weather – the direction of the wind can be a huge factor in baseball. If the wind is blowing out from centre, then the ball could fly an extra few feet and be the difference of a base hit and a home run. Temperature can  affect the flight of the ball through the air. If the temperature is high, then there is less moisture in the air to slow it down, causing it to fly further.
  • Batting Line-up – look at the batting average of each line-up. If a team is hitting at a high percentage, then they are likely to record a high number of hits in the upcoming game. Also, check out each individual batters’ record against either left or right-handed pitchers, depending on which pitcher is starting on the mound.
  • Ballpark – there are some ballparks that massively favour the batters and the pitchers. It is important to know what each ballpark favours, as this could have a significant impact on the outcome of the game.
  • Runs Scored / Conceded for Each Team – how many runs are being scored and conceded on average for each team. Looking at recent performances will show you if they are playing well or in a slight slump. Be sure to check out the recent results at home / away too, as most teams perform differently depending on whether they are playing in front of their own fans.
  • Player Injuries – make sure you are keeping up to date with a team’s injury list. If one of their leadoff hitters who has a high batting average is out because of an injury, this could have a negative impact on a team’s score.

Many factors can affect the outcome of a baseball game, as outlined above. So, make sure you take all of them into account when looking into a specific game, as they will allow you to predict the outcome carefully and help you win your baseball bets.

4. Managing Your Bankroll and Records!

It is imperative that you manage your bankroll effectively. This allows you to go through losing streaks (which is somewhat inevitable when betting on sport) and come out the other end without much damage being taken.  If you do not manage your bankroll correctly, you may end up losing a lot of money, so please be careful. If this happens often, then please take a step back and reset.

Finally, the administration part of baseball betting. We highly recommend that you keep detailed records of all of your bets. Doing so will allow you to understand which bets are winning and where you are going wrong with your losing ones. Being able to adapt your betting patterns by analysing your previous bets will help you to become a successful baseball bettor.

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